{"id":26888,"date":"2016-08-31T19:00:31","date_gmt":"2016-08-31T16:00:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/e-marineeducation.com\/tr\/?p=26888"},"modified":"2016-08-31T16:21:47","modified_gmt":"2016-08-31T13:21:47","slug":"lpg-navlunlari-dususe-dogru-gidiyor","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/e-marineeducation.com\/tr\/lpg-navlunlari-dususe-dogru-gidiyor\/","title":{"rendered":"LPG Navlunlar\u0131 D\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015fe Do\u011fru Gidiyor"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-26891\" src=\"https:\/\/e-marineeducation.com\/tr\/wp-content\/uploads\/LPG-Gemisi-Logo.jpg\" alt=\"LPG Gemisi - Logo\" width=\"127\" height=\"127\" \/>Drewry k\u00fcresel ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k kurulu\u015fu taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131nlanan <span style=\"color: #3498db\"><em>LPG Tahminleri (LPG Forecaster)<\/em><\/span> yay\u0131n\u0131na g\u00f6re, LPG navlunlar\u0131n\u0131n <span style=\"color: #3498db\"><em>2016 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan sonra<\/em><\/span> d\u00fc\u015fmesi bekleniyor. Bunun ba\u015fl\u0131ca nedeni, normalden fazla <span style=\"color: #3498db\"><em>VLGC (Very Large Gas Carriers)<\/em><\/span> sipari\u015f edilmesi ve bu sipari\u015flerin ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k talebini a\u015facak filolar\u0131n olu\u015fmas\u0131na neden olmas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">VLGC gelirleri, y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan Eyl\u00fcl 2015\u2019 e kadar ayl\u0131k ortalama olarak 2 milyon dolar\u0131n \u00fczerinde gelir elde ederek parlak bir y\u0131l ge\u00e7irdi. Bunu sa\u011flayan \u00fc\u00e7 ana fakt\u00f6r \u015fu \u015fekilde s\u0131ralanabilir: Artan ABD ihracat\u0131, k\u0131talar aras\u0131 ABD kaynakl\u0131 LPG\u2019nin Asya \u00fclkelerine ihracat\u0131 ve piyasadaki gemi arz\u0131n\u0131n yava\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">ABD ihracat\u0131, yerli \u00fcretimin artmas\u0131 ve LPG ihracat\u0131 i\u00e7in gerekli olan alt yap\u0131n\u0131n 2014\u2019ten bu yana 2,5 kat geli\u015ftirmesiyle birlikte b\u00fcy\u00fck bir art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir. 2015 ihracat de\u011ferleri 3. \u00e7eyre\u011fin sonunda 2014\u2019 \u00fcn de\u011ferlerini geride b\u0131rakt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Talep taraf\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, \u00c7in\u2019in ithalat\u0131, <span style=\"color: #3498db\"><em>PDH (Propan Dehidrojenerasyonu)<\/em><\/span> santrallerinin operasyonel olmas\u0131yla birlikte b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde artt\u0131. \u00c7in, 2014 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n toplam 6.9 milyon tonluk LPG miktar\u0131n\u0131 geride b\u0131rakarak, 2015\u2019 in sadece ilk dokuz ay\u0131nda 8.4 milyon ton LPG ihracat\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi. Artan t\u00fcketimin b\u00fcy\u00fck bir k\u0131sm\u0131 Amerika taraf\u0131ndan kar\u015f\u0131lan\u0131rken, \u00f6zellikle b\u00fcy\u00fck LPG tankerlerine olan talebi artt\u0131rd\u0131. Benzer \u015fekilde, Japonya ve Kore de pazarl\u0131k g\u00fc\u00e7lerini artt\u0131rmak amac\u0131yla, gaz ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 orta do\u011fudan Amerika\u2019ya kayd\u0131rm\u0131\u015flard\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Ticaret hacmi art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterirken, ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k hacmi ayn\u0131 h\u0131zla art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermemi\u015ftir. <em><span style=\"color: #3498db\">2015<\/span><\/em> y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk \u00fc\u00e7 \u00e7eyre\u011finde gaz tankeri filosuna <span style=\"color: #3498db\"><em>20 tanker<\/em><\/span> kat\u0131lm\u0131\u015fken, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l sadece <span style=\"color: #3498db\"><em>8 VLGC<\/em><\/span> denize indirilmi\u015ftir. Bu nedenle, VLGC piyasas\u0131ndaki arz-talep ili\u015fkisi aras\u0131ndaki bo\u015fluk, ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz iki y\u0131lda keskin bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fam\u0131\u015f ve navlun fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesine neden olmu\u015ftur.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Drewry k\u0131demli analisti <span style=\"color: #3498db\"><em>Shresth Sharma<\/em><\/span> gaz ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 hakk\u0131nda \u015funlar\u0131 s\u00f6ylemi\u015ftir: \u201c<em>\u0130leriye bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, Amerika ihracat\u0131n\u0131n yeni \u00fcretim kapasitesiyle birlikte y\u00fcksek seyrini koruyaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bekliyoruz. Ayr\u0131ca, Amerikan LPG\u2019sinin hala b\u00fcy\u00fck Asya \u00fclkelerinin ithalat\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7te birinden daha az olmas\u0131 sebebiyle, Asyal\u0131 al\u0131c\u0131lar\u0131n, gaz ihtiya\u00e7lar\u0131n\u0131 orta do\u011fudan Amerika\u2019ya kayd\u0131rmaya devam edece\u011fini \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Bunun, ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan mahsuru ise, tanker filosunun gittik\u00e7e b\u00fcy\u00fcmesinden dolay\u0131 arz ve talep aras\u0131ndaki fark\u0131n 2016 y\u0131l\u0131ndan itibaren artmas\u0131n\u0131n beklenmesidir<\/em>.\u201d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Bunun da \u00f6tesinde, <em><span style=\"color: #3498db\">geni\u015fletilmi\u015f Panama Kanal\u0131<\/span><\/em> ile, ABD ve uzak do\u011fu aras\u0131ndaki seyir mesafesi \u00fc\u00e7te bir oran\u0131nda k\u0131salarak, arz-talep aras\u0131ndaki bo\u015fluk 2016-2018 y\u0131llar\u0131 boyunca daha da fazla artacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\">Sharma ayr\u0131ca, \u201c<em>Navlun fiyatlar\u0131nda ani bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f beklemesek de, navlunlardaki d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn, 2016 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda filo b\u00fcy\u00fcmesi h\u0131zland\u0131k\u00e7a ba\u015flayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin ediyoruz. Her ne kadar <span style=\"color: #3498db\">spot markette<\/span> k\u0131sa vadeli iyi kazan\u0131m f\u0131rsatlar\u0131 olsa da, armat\u00f6rlere \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 ay boyunca, piyasa a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 filo b\u00fcy\u00fckl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnden etkilenmeden \u00f6nce, halihaz\u0131rdaki <span style=\"color: #3498db\">uzun vadeli kira s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerinde<\/span> sabit kalmalar\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6neririz<\/em>.\u201d diyerek eklemektedir.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify\"><strong>Kaynak:\u00a0<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;color: #3498db\"><a style=\"color: #3498db;text-decoration: underline\" href=\"http:\/\/www.drewry.co.uk\/news.php?id=428\">Drewry Shipping Consultants Ltd.<\/a><\/span><\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>Terc\u00fcme: <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;color: #3498db\"><a style=\"color: #3498db;text-decoration: underline\" href=\"https:\/\/e-marineeducation.com\/tr\/profil-cem-kutukoglu\/\">Cem K\u00fct\u00fcko\u011flu<\/a><\/span><\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>D\u00fczenleme: <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;color: #3498db\"><a style=\"color: #3498db;text-decoration: underline\" href=\"https:\/\/e-marineeducation.com\/tr\/profil-ruya-hazar\/\">R\u00fcya Hazar<\/a><\/span><\/strong><br \/>\n<strong>Ekleyen: <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;color: #3498db\"><a style=\"color: #3498db;text-decoration: underline\" href=\"https:\/\/e-marineeducation.com\/tr\/profil-ayse-kirici\/\">Ay\u015fe K\u0131r\u0131c\u0131<\/a><\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Drewry k\u00fcresel ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131k kurulu\u015fu taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131nlanan LPG Tahminleri (LPG Forecaster) yay\u0131n\u0131na g\u00f6re, LPG navlunlar\u0131n\u0131n 2016 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131ndan sonra d\u00fc\u015fmesi bekleniyor. Bunun ba\u015fl\u0131ca nedeni, normalden fazla VLGC (Very Large Gas Carriers) sipari\u015f edilmesi ve bu sipari\u015flerin ta\u015f\u0131mac\u0131l\u0131k talebini a\u015facak filolar\u0131n olu\u015fmas\u0131na neden olmas\u0131d\u0131r. VLGC gelirleri, y\u0131lba\u015f\u0131ndan Eyl\u00fcl 2015\u2019 e kadar ayl\u0131k ortalama olarak 2 &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1040,"featured_media":26890,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_bbp_topic_count":0,"_bbp_reply_count":0,"_bbp_total_topic_count":0,"_bbp_total_reply_count":0,"_bbp_voice_count":0,"_bbp_anonymous_reply_count":0,"_bbp_topic_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_reply_count_hidden":0,"_bbp_forum_subforum_count":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[18],"tags":[3137,1315,4559,4561,4562,4560,4484],"class_list":["post-26888","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","","category-haberler","tag-ayse-kirici-eklemeleri","tag-cem-kutukoglu-tercumeleri","tag-drewry","tag-lpg-forecaster","tag-lpg-navlunlari-dususe-dogru-gidiyor","tag-lpg-tahminleri","tag-ruya-hazar-duzenlemeleri"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - 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